Trend: house prices fell slightly by 0.56% y-o-y in 2018

The average price of dwellings fell slightly by 0.56% during 2018, from meagre growths of 0.82% in 2017, 0.25% in 2016, and 0.06% in 2015. During the latest quarter, house prices dropped 0.48% in Q4 2018.

Analysis: Demand falling, construction surging. One of the main reasons of the sluggish house price growth in Finland maybe the continued surge in construction activity despite falling demand. During 2018, total transactions of old dwellings fell by 2.7% y-o-y to 58,124 units, according to Statistics Finland. On the other hand, dwelling starts in residential buildings rose by 3.7% y-o-y to 42,577 units in the first eleven months of 2018 while completions were up by 19.3% to 37,268 units. 

Finland has suffered several years of very low growth. At the heart of Finland's problems has been the inability of Nokia to compete. Between 1998 and 2007, Nokia was responsible for 20% of all of Finland’s exports; but by mid-2012 Nokia was almost bankrupt, and its contribution to Finnish GDP was actually negative. Over 40,000 highly-skilled Finnish ICT workers were unemployed. Aside from Nokia’s weakened activity, exports were plagued by the economic recession in Russia ― Finland’s major trading partner.

However the economy is now gradually improving, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.4% in December 2018, from 8.4% a year earlier.

Rents, rental yields: moderate yields in Helsinki at 4.11% 

Helsini apartment costs are around €6,609 per sq. m.

Finland: city centre apartment, buying price, monthly rent (120 sq. m)
  Buying price Rate per month Yield
Helsinki € 793,080 € 2,718 4.11%

Recent news. The Finnish economy expanded by about 2.7% in 2018, according to the Bank of Finland – the second fastest growth since 2010. The economy is expected to expand by a modest 1.9% this year and by another 1.7% in 2020, according to the central bank.

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