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Lithuania's house prices stabilizing, finally!


After almost three years of house price falls, the housing market in Lithuania is finally recovering.

The apartment price index for five largest cities rose slightly by 0.1% in October 2011 on the same month last year, according to Ober Haus. However, when adjusted for inflation, house prices are still down by 4.4% over the same period.

In Vilnius, the capital city, property prices rose by 3% to €1,208 per sq. m., according to the preliminary figures from Lithuania’s registry office. On a quarterly basis, property prices fell by 0.8% in Q3 2011, after a 2.2% drop in the previous quarter.  House prices in Vilnius are still down  by 39.1% from the peak in December 2007.

On the other hand, property prices in all other cities (excluding Vilnius) rose by 6% y-o-y to Q3 2011. House prices dropped 2.9% q-o-q to Q3 2011.

After registering double-digit house price increases from 2003 to 2007, house prices started to decline in 2008 due to the global crisis.

In 2008, house prices dropped by 15.2% (-21.8% inflation-adjusted)In 2009, house prices plunged by 26.8% (-27.7% inflation-adjusted)In 2010, house prices fell by 3% (-6.4% inflation-adjusted)

The average interest rate paid by households for a housing loan denominated in Lithuania litas (LTL) currently stands at 3.6%, down from 6.2% in March 2010. In mid-2011, the average interest rate on new mortgage loans was about 3.4%.

Lithuania’s property market is expected to continue recovering, fuelled by strong economic growth (with projected GDP growth rate of 6.2% in 2011).

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