Lithuania: Overview
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Lithuania’s housing market crumbles
Lithuania’s house prices continue to fall, with the economy stagnating and the credit markets freezing.
After enormous price increases from 2003 to 2006, Lithuania’s residential property prices peaked in early 2007, and then stayed flat until the first quarter of 2008. After that, the house price bubble started to deflate.
In Q4 2008, the average price of newly constructed apartments in Central Vilnius with full finish was €2,640 per sq. m., down 22.4% from a year earlier, according to Invalda Real Estate (Inreal). Given Lithuania’s high inflation, the average price actually dropped 29% in real terms.
The average price of renovated old 1-room apartments in central Vilnius also dropped by 20% y-o-y (a fall of 27% in real terms) to €2,520 per sq. m. in Q4 2008.
The housing deflation was evident all over Lithuania, in Vilnius, prices for flats of old construction plunged by 23%; in Kaunas – by 15%; in Klaipeda – by 24%; in Siauliai – by 13%; and in Panevezys – by 9%, reports ELTA, the Lithuanian News Agency.
Contagion from the global financial meltdown, combined with tighter credit conditions and government-imposed anti-inflationary measures led to economic slowdown, this in turn pushed house prices down.
Unless the government acts quickly and decisively, the housing market stagnation is likely to last until 2012.
There are virtually no restrictions on foreign ownership of properties and land in Lithuania.
RENTAL YIELDS
Last Updated: Aug 12, 2009
Still low at around 4.44%
Despite the crisis, gross rental yields on apartments in Vilnius remain low, at around 4.44%. These yields are slightly higher than the 2008 Global Property Guide figures, but the difference is marginal. It seems that the recession has been shrinking rents, along with “for sale” asking prices, making property investment unattractive.
Suburban apartments have about the same level of yields, at around 4.38%. The suburban apartment property sizes we surveyed were 35, 75 and 120 square metres (sq. m.), with prices ranging from €56,560 to €239,280, respectively.
People often write in to ask, when will the residential property markets in the Baltics recover? We can only say, this is not the stuff of which property recoveries are made. Not yet, anyway. The usual pattern is that economic activity begins to rise, leading to rising rents, and then the property market begins to regain confidence. This nirvana for investment property is a long way off in the Baltics.
TAXES AND COSTS
Last Updated: Aug 11, 2008
Medium to high taxes in Lithuania
Effective Tax Rate on Rental Income |
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| Monthly Income | €1,500 | €6,000 | €12,000 |
| Tax Rate | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% |
| Click here to see a worked example | |||
Source:
Disclaimer
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Rental Income: Rental income tax is moderate at 15% of the gross income.
Capital Gains: Capital gains are treated as ordinary taxable income.
Inheritance: The inheritance tax rate is 5% for property up to LTL500,000 (€144,810). Otherwise, the tax rate is 10%.
Residents: Residents are entitled to basic non-taxable allowance at €1,112 a year as well as other deductions.
BUYING GUIDE
Last Updated: Dec 03, 2007
Transaction costs are low
in Lithuania, except for new buildings
Roundtrip transaction costs, i.e., the cost of buying and selling property, are generally low at 2.3 - 5%. However, buildings sold within 24 months of completion are subject to 18% VAT. The seller typically pays the real estate agent’s fee, which ranges from 1.5% to 3%, plus 18% VAT.
LANDLORD AND TENANT
Last Updated: Jul 05, 2006
Lithuania law is mildly pro-tenant
Rent: Rents can be freely negotiated between landlord and tenant. If the tenant cannot agree the renewal terms with the landlord, he may go to court for arbitration of the amount of rent.
Tenant Security: Upon expiration of a contract the tenant has the ‘priority right’ to renew for a new term, which will be for twelve months.
ECONOMIC GROWTH
Last Updated: Feb 05, 2009
Inflation, budget deficit
and recession woes pile up
Lithuania is the most populous and largest of the Baltic States, with a population of 3.4 million. Following independence from USSR in 1990, Lithuania emerged as one of the most successful transition states coming from the Third Wave (of democratization). With its ascension to EU and NATO in 2004, Lithuania strengthened its economic prospects.
Lithuania became one of Europe’s fastest growing economies after an economic recession in 1999. Average annual GDP growth from 2000 to 2006 was 7.3%, including an impressive 10.3% economic expansion in 2003. After growing by more than 7% from 2004 to 2006, GDP growth reached 8.8% in 2007.
GDP per capita rose to around US$11,350 in 2007, rising 77% in real terms from its level in 2000. Unemployment dropped from 17.4% in 2000, to 4.3% in 2007. Real wages rose 8% in 2005, 13% in 2006 and 15% in 2007.
However, the economy slowed in 2008, with annual GDP growth falling from 7% in Q1 to 2.9% in Q3. By the fourth quarter of 2008, GDP contracted by 1.5% compared to the same quarter in 2007. Lithuania is expected to officially enter recession in 2009, with the economy contracting by as much as 3.5%.
The slowdown pushed unemployment up to 8.0% by December 2008, from just 4.3% a year earlier. During the boom, Lithuania had successfully reduced unemployment from 17.4% in 2001.
Annual inflation has been accelerating since 2004, reaching 8.2% in 2007, the highest level in a decade. From 1999 to 2003, prices barely increased, with average annual inflation of only 0.38%.
The level of inflation is well above the Maastricht Treaty’s criteria for countries applying to adopt the euro.
Similar to other countries with currencies pegged to the euro, Lithuania has surrendered its ability to raise interest rates to control inflation. To maintain the peg, European Central Bank interest rates are mirrored in Lithuania.
The government has no option but to spend less to bring down inflation. In November 2007, the government passed the Fiscal Discipline Law mandating that starting 2008, its fiscal deficit cannot exceed 0.5% of GDP.
Despite this, the budget deficit in 2008 was 0.9% of GDP, above the government’s goal, but lower than the 1.3% GDP deficit reached in 2007. Inflation remained high at 11.3%.
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AROUND THE WORLD
Asia & Pacific
Looming housing slump in China
America & Caribbean
The great U.S. housing market crash
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| RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY FACTS | |
| Price (sq.m): €2,406 For a 120 sq. m. property, usually an apartment. | Rental Yield: 4.03% For a 120 sq. m. property, usually an apartment. |
| Rent/month: €971 For a 120 sq. m. property. | Income Tax: 2.90% Assumptions: Owners are a non-resident couple drawing US$ / €1,500 per month in rent, with no other local income. |
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Roundtrip Cost:
2.4%
The total cost of buying and then reselling an apartment. Includes: * all transaction taxes and charges: * lawyers' and notaries' fees * agents' fees Assumptions: The buyers are non-resident foreigners. The apartment cost US$250,00 / €250,000. |
Cap Gains Tax: 0.0 Assumptions: The property was bought for US$250,000 / €250,000, and sold 10 years later, after a 100% appreciation. |
| Landlord & Tenant Law: Pro-Tenant Rating is based on a detailed study of each country’s law and practice. | |
MAY 2008
FEBRUARY 2007
- A Bursting Baltic Bubble? - Vilhelm Konnander Bl
JANUARY 2007
- Capturing Vilnius in 45 seconds - The Baltic Times
- Overseas residential property in 2007 - Business online
OCTOBER 2006
- Lithuania - top European hot spot in 2007 - The Move Channel
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