Chinese yields still very low
Residential Valuation Specialist | March 15, 2018
| Last Updated: Mar. 15, 2018 | |||||
| BEIJING- Apartments | PRICE/SQ.M. (US$) | YIELD (p.a.) | PRICE/SQ.FT. (US$) | ||
| TO BUY | MONTHLY RENT | TO BUY | MONTHLY RENT | ||
| Chaoyang | 11,829 | 20.66 | 2.10% | 1,099 | 1.92 |
| CBD and Jiangoumen | 13,150 | 21.28 | 1.94% | 1,222 | 1.98 |
| Sanlitun | 13,636 | 20.57 | 1.81% | 1,267 | 1.91 |
| SHANGHAI - Aapartments | |||||
| Changning | 12,153 | 22.85 | 2.26% | 1,129 | 2.12 |
| Huangpu | 14,425 | 24.02 | 2.00% | 1,340 | 2.23 |
| Jing ´an | 15,208 | 29.76 | 2.35% | 1,413 | 2.76 |
| Luwan | 15,472 | 27.31 | 2.12% | 1,437 | 2.54 |
| Pudong | 9,983 | 23.84 | 2.87% | 927 | 2.21 |
| Xuhui | 12,272 | 30.13 | 2.95% | 1,140 | 2.80 |
| SHENZHEN - Apartments | |||||
| Futian | 10,544 | 16.85 | 1.92% | 980 | 1.57 |
| Nanshan | 11,988 | 17.25 | 1.73% | 1,114 | 1.60 |
| Longhua | 8,106 | n.a. | n.a. | 753 | n.a. |
| Chengdu - Apartments | |||||
| Jinjiang | 3,478 | n.a. | n.a. | 323 | n.a. |
| Wuhou | 2,619 | n.a. | n.a. | 243 | n.a. |
| Qingyam | 3,132 | n.a. | n.a. | 291 | n.a. |
| Chenghua | 2,654 | n.a. | n.a. | 247 | n.a. |
| GUANGZHOU - Apartments | |||||
| Haizhu | 6,197 | n.a. | n.a. | 576 | n.a. |
| Tianhe | 7,827 | n.a. | n.a. | 727 | n.a. |
| Yue Xui | 7,782 | n.a. | n.a. | 723 | n.a. |
|
All yields are gross - i.e., before taxes, repair costs, ground rents, estate agents fees, and any other costs. Net yields (what you´ll really earn) are typically around 1.5% to 2% lower. Source: Global Property Guide and Fang Definitions: Data FAQ See also: Update Schedule |
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When we first began to gather data on China, gross rental yields in all categories of Beijing condominiums were above 9%, and gross rental yields for villas in Beijing ranged from 9.5% to 13%. In Shanghai, returns were less stellar, with gross rental yields on apartments ranging from 5.4% to 7%.
Last year, we found that rental yields on almost all sizes of apartments in Beijing were below 2.5%, and in Shanghai below 3.2%. It is hard to escape the fact that prices have been climbing steeply, while rents have not moved much. Until 2008, apartments in most large cities in China had rental yields above 5%, a level which we generally consider ´safe´.
Yields below 3% are a danger signal. The Global Property Guide were the first to warn that a crash was likely in the Baltics in 2007. Then our signal was that yields had dropped below 3%. We gave similar warnings in Dubai.
China however is different. Although the Chinese property market is cooling, a crash in China is unlikely because of the firm hold that the authorities have on the financial system, and there are a raft of measures that the authorities can take very swiftly to encourage people to buy.
However many Chinese property investors are voting with their wallets, and buying properties in other countries. Increasingly this is causing Chinese authorities to try to stem the outward flow of money, and causing host communities to say enough is enough, for instance in Australia and New Zealand.
Comments
marc | May 16, 2010
Your numbers are conservative. The renter has a lot of bargaining power in Shanghai. I would say (from personal experience) that your yields are about 1% too high.
Howcome | May 18, 2010
Agree with Marc. Live and rent in Beijing now. 160 SM, asking sales price 4.8 M Yuan, rent 6 K Yuan/month.
Thomas | June 15, 2010
the ordinary appartment yield in Beijing is lower,an appartment sells 1.6 million yuan will rent only 36 thousands per year(yield 2.25%).
and the high end(in your statistic)have a extreamly high Vacancy rate you can't imagine,about 80% of them are empty as my observation.
Steve Hemingway | August 03, 2010
Rent is determined by tenants actual earned income, which is roughly constant in real terms. Property prices are largely a function of sentiment and availability of credit. The persistent momentum of prices in real estate markets deludes investors into thinking that "income doesn't matter". Of course it does, and since nobody can be cash flow positive on a yield of 2.5% even with the cheapest financing imaginable, then these figures have to predict that high end property in Shanghai and Beijing is on the point of a huge crash.
Of course it might be ten years before we actually see it, and a lot of rich people will take this as evidence that people like me don't know what we are talking about.
Bill Coughlin | September 12, 2011
Wow i love these stats
How can i get monthly data to graph beijing and hong kong home price indexs
Chech out th the vancouver market reports
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