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Sweden: Overview

Last Updated: Jul 24, 2009

Mixed signals for house prices in Sweden

Sweden’s decade-long house price boom ended in 2008.  This was a year of residential price falls, a significant decline in property sales, and an over-all slowdown of construction activity.

The price-falls were not extreme, however - the average price of houses in Sweden (one- and two- dwelling buildings) fell 2.9% (-3.7% in real terms) in the year to end-Q1 2009, to an average price  of SEK1,830,000 (€166,018), according to Statistics Sweden.

In Greater Stockholm, the average price of houses fell by 6.3% in the year to end-Q1 2009 to SEK3,272,000 (€296,836). When adjusted for inflation, Greater Stockholm house prices were down by 7%.

Surprisingly, national house prices were up by an average of 5.4% in the first quarter of 2009, compared to the previous quarter. Among Sweden’s eight regions (under NUTS-2), only Greater Stockholm registered a price fall over the same period. Price increases ranged from 1.2% for Central Norrland and 11.3% for Upper Norrland.

Rising interest rates had ended Sweden’s house price boom. From the record low rate of 1.5% (in effect from July to December 2005), the Riksbank successively raised the repo rate to 3% in Dec 2006, 4% in Oct 2007 and 4.75% in September 2008. Each time the repo rate was raised by 25 basis points. The global financial meltdown and an economic recession in 2008 worsened the situation.

In real terms, house prices will probably remain flat over the next year or two, as the economic recession is expected to continue in 2009.

There are no legal restrictions on foreigners buying property in Sweden.

Read Price History  »

RENTAL YIELDS

Last Updated: Sep 09, 2005

Yields are low to moderate

Swedish property yields are low to moderate according to Global Property Guide estimates (alas, our yields data has not been updated since September 2005). Mid-sized apartments (80 to 120 sq. m.) have yields at 6 to 7% while other sized properties have yields of around 3 to 4%.

Apartments in the second-largest city of Göteborg have yields of around 5% to 7%, while properties in suburban Stockholm have relatively lower yields, at 3% to 5%. Because rents are tied to the age of the property, the higher yields in the city-center reflect newer housing stock in those areas.

Read Rental Yields  »

TAXES AND COSTS

Last Updated: Aug 13, 2008

High rental income taxes and CGT

Rental Income: Non-resident landlords are taxable on rental income accruing in Sweden at a flat rate of 30%.

Capital Gains: Capital gains tax is levied at a general rate of 30%.

Inheritance: Inheritance tax in Sweden has been abolished since January 2005.

Residents: Residents are allowed certain allowances and deductions from their worldwide taxable income.

Read Taxes and Costs  »

BUYING GUIDE

Last Updated: Mar 29, 2007

Transaction costs in Sweden are low

Closing costs range from 4.5% to 7.5%. The buyer pays stamp duty (1.5%) and registration fee of SEK825 (€88.50). The seller pays the real estate agent’s fee (3% - 5%). When the buyer and the seller reach an agreement, the former pays a deposit ranging from 2% to 10% of the purchase price.

Read Buying Guide  »

LANDLORD AND TENANT

Last Updated: Nov 15, 2006

Strictly regulated rental market

Sweden’s rental market is strongly pro-tenant. The system is enormously counter-productive. Eight per cent of the Swedish population is queueing for a new apartment, with an average waiting time of 10 years

Rents: Rents are set far below reasonable returns-on-investment. Rents are little influenced by location, so that metropolitan units are especially under priced. The system is enforced by Rent Tribunals.

Tenant Security: Tenants have a right to prolong their contract, essentially for ever. The rule is totally asymmetric; a tenant may at all times give 3 month’s notice, even if the contract is fixed for a given period, to terminate the agreement.

In September 2006 the Alliance for Sweden, a centre-right coalition headed by Moderate Party leader Fredrik Reinfeldt, unseated the Social Democrat Party of Goran Persson. Since then, the housing system has been high on the agenda. An ongoing state review of the system argues for the removal of the current rental ceiling, so that private housing companies and individuals could set market rents.

Read Landlord and Tenant  »

ECONOMIC GROWTH

Last Updated: Jul 24, 2009

Economic recession and deflation

Sweden is one of the world’s most highly developed post-industrial countries with a GDP per capita of US$52,790 in 2008. Sweden has a population of 9.18 million occupying a land area (450,000 sq. km) about the size of Germany.

Sweden has been a member of the EU since 1995, but decided against adopting the single currency (the Euro) in September 2003.

The country recovered gradually after an economic crisis hit the country in the early 1990s. GDP contracted by an average of 1.4% from 1991 to 1993. The economy then grew by 3.9% in 1994 and 1995 and by an average of 2.6% from 1996 to 2003. From 2004 to 2007, GDP growth accelerated to an average of 3.5% annually.

Sweden’s strong growth has mainly been due to the rapid expansion of exports, which grew by an average of 9.7% annually from 2004 to 2006. In 2008, exports accounted for 54% of GDP, while imports accounted for 47% of GDP. The EU remains its most important trading partner, comprising of 60% of exports and 70% of imports. Norway and the US are also significant.

Sweden’s economy is supported by vibrant engineering sector which accounts for almost 50% of output and exports.

The secret of Sweden’s prosperity is probably the so-called "Swedish model" - a mixed economy founded on public-private partnership. Its main features are a centralized wage negotiation and a heavily tax-subsidized social security network.

Sweden’s economy took a double hit in 2008. Weak international demand for its products combined with high domestic interest rates, producing an 0.4% GDP contraction in 2008.

The economy is expected to contract by another 5.5% in 2009, due to continued weakening demand for its exports, the worst economic performance in more than two decades. A slight recovery is expected in 2010, with 0.2% GDP growth.

In May 2009, the unemployment rate rose to 9%, from 6.4% in December 2008. Unemployment is expected to worsen to 11.1% in 2010, and 11.7% in 2011, according to the finance ministry.

The Riksbank expects prices will fall by an average of 0.2% during 2009, way below the central bank’s target of 2% inflation.

 

  • Strong & stable economy
  • Low transaction costs
  • Moderate to low yields
  • Extremely pro-tenant market
  • High rental income tax

RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY FACTS
Price (sq.m): n.a. Rental Yield: n.a.
Rent/month: n.a. Income Tax: n.a. Assumptions: Owners are a non-resident couple drawing US$ / €1,500 per month in rent, with no other local income.
Roundtrip Cost: 6.5% The total cost of buying and then reselling an apartment. Includes:

* all transaction taxes and charges:
* lawyers' and notaries' fees
* agents' fees

Assumptions: The buyers are non-resident foreigners. The apartment cost US$250,00 / €250,000.
Cap Gains Tax: 18.2% Assumptions: The property was bought for US$250,000 / €250,000, and sold 10 years later, after a 100% appreciation.
Landlord & Tenant Law: Strongly Pro-Tenant Rating is based on a detailed study of each country’s law and practice.


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