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Estonia's property market is slowing

Oct 04, 2017 | 0 Comment(s)

Trend: house prices rose 4.25% y-o-y in Q2
Despite weak economic growth, during last year (2016) the average price of apartments in Tallinn increased 12% (9.54% inflation-adjusted).  However house price rises have slowed and during the most recent quarter, Q2 2017, apartment prices in Tallinn rose by only 0.77% q-o-q (0.32% inflation-adjusted).
Analysis: economic growth is weak.  The jobless rate is projected to increase further to 7.9% this year and to 8.7% in 2018.
However the country has lowest national debt level in the European Union, at just 9.5% of GDP last year.  In 2016, Estonia registered a government surplus of 0.3% of GDP, according to Statistics Estonia.
Rents, rental yields: moderate rental yields at 5.26%
Tallinn apartment costs are moderate at around €2,373 per sq. m.
Estonia: city centre apartment, buying price, monthly rent (120 sq.m.) 
   Buying price  Rent per month  Yield
 Talinn  €261,000  €1,145  5.26%
Recent news:  Estonia’s economy is projected to expand by a modest 2.5% this year and by another 2.9% in 2018, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Market Analysis - Estonia
Time series for residential property
Average price per sq.m. of dwellings, 2 rooms & kitchen, Tallinn
Price/Rent Ratio: 15 yrs

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